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moccet's avatar

Seeing this discussed in several communities—interesting questions for health AI simulation.

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moccet's avatar

This is one of the clearest technical breakdowns I've seen on why digital twins in healthcare have struggled to scale. The continuous validation piece is critical—most systems built static models and wondered why they degraded. The connection between temporal graphs and causal inference for real-time learning is exactly what the field needed

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Rainbow Roxy's avatar

Regarding the article, how exactly does causal inference integrate with the temporal graphs for continuous patient learning, I'm so intrigued by that mechanisim.

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moccet's avatar

Great question! Causal inference helps identify which factors truly drive health outcomes (versus just correlations), while temporal graphs map how these relationships evolve over time. Together, they enable the digital twin to learn from each patient's unique trajectory and predict how interventions might play out. It's like having a simulation that adapts to your specific biology. If you're enjoying this technical depth, you might love exploring these topics further in our Chat! Would be happy to discuss more.

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moccet's avatar

Cold-start is solved by encoding clinical domain knowledge as informative Bayesian priors that constrain the causal graph structure, then letting patient data incrementally tighten those priors through causal discovery algorithms. Uncertainty stays explicitly quantified so recommendations degrade gracefully from population-average to personalized as signal accumulates. The hard engineering problem is orchestrating concurrent Bayesian updates across temporal graphs while running ensemble simulations in real-time, which is why we lean on probabilistic programming frameworks and GPU-accelerated inference pipelines. From your vantage point in CS, how would you approach the validation problem e.g distinguishing learned causal edges that genuinely capture patient physiology from those that are just fitting temporal correlations in sparse, noisy biomarker data?

~Qian X @moccet

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